So sometimes..we get mesmerized by the backgammon drama that we completely forget we are holding the cube and doubling might be an option
Well here is an example of such an event.
I am preparing for the last rites with an ace point anchor, my arch rival and nemisis (GreedyG) a couple rolls away from a doubled gammon or even backgammon to put me out of my misery. (5 pt match, score 0-0) I am playing White.
Bot rolls 55, leaving a single blot. I hit the blot. My chances of losing was 99.2%.
Bot stays on the bar and we arrive to this position where I roll 44 and we are pretty much a coin flip at this point. I am a slight underdog 46% to win. Well that is a long way from 99% to lose just a few rolls earlier.
So I move my 44 roll, amazed that I may actually win this , bot rolls 5-1 and here we are at this position.
So at this point.. what am I thinking? yep.. ROLL SMALL NUMBERS YOU S.O.B! SMALL NUMBERS 2-1 3-1
I should have been thinking.. hey, wait a minute.. I am actually the favorite here If we count the rolls, the bot is actually missing with 19/36 rolls only 17 rolls get that blot off the board. So yeah.. i SHOULD have redoubled to 4. It was a double blunder (.200+) not to redouble. I rolled, the bot missed and I won that very rare last checker left game. And this one was even more unlikely since the board was not closed off. Could have escaped out with any 6.
4-ply cubeless equity +0.213 (Money: +0.213)
0.606 0.000 0.000 - 0.394 0.000 0.000
1. Double, take +0.448
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.552)
3. No double +0.213 ( -0.235)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take
And I went on to win the match, even though I played badly (beginner level)
sgf file attached