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see a blot, hit a blot double blunder

Posted: Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:35 am
by admin
Here is another "see a blot hit a blot" blunder. Those blots are hard to resist when we roll a hitting number but you have to ask yourself. Am I really better off if I hit?
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3 pt match score 0-0, I am holding a 2 cube. In this case I had no business hitting. The race was close, opponent has a much stronger board that I want no part of by getting hit. My plan should have been to avoid any contact and try to race it out. I hit, got lucky opponent missed the shot and I improved, redoubled and won. Match eval was "intermediate".

1. Cubeful 3-ply 9/4 Eq.: -0.416
0.307 0.024 0.000 - 0.693 0.206 0.003

2. Cubeful 3-ply 9/7*/4 Eq.: -0.607 ( -0.192)
0.264 0.028 0.000 - 0.736 0.311 0.006